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We expect SI to trend downwards today with a 80% chance.

We expect SI to trend downwards later today. Based on these past United States Adp Employment Change news events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 177K. A price movement of 34 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Feb 13:15
03 Jun 12:15
01 Apr 12:15
04 Mar 13:15

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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