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We expect S to trend downwards today with a 75% chance.

Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United States, we expect S to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > 5.9%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Feb 13:30
16 Oct 12:30
16 Jun 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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