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We expect S to trend downwards today with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Germany, we expect a $39363 movement on S within 48 hours following the event release at 2024-02-29 13:00. We expect S to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2024-02-29 13:00 if the released value is < 2.6% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 Jan 13:00
29 Nov 13:00
28 Sep 12:00
28 Apr 12:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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