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We expect RTY to trend upwards today with a 70% chance.

We expect RTY to trend upwards later today. Based on these past United States Continuing Jobless Claims news events there is a 70% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 4490K. A price movement of 4,085 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Feb 13:30
14 Jan 13:30
07 Jan 13:30
31 Dec 13:30
23 Dec 13:30
17 Dec 13:30
03 Dec 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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