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We expect RTY to trend downwards today.

Based on the last 12 Tankan Large Manufacturers Index events in Japan, we expect RTY to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect RTY to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 30 Sep 23:50 if the released value is < -23. A price movement of 3,435 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Jun 23:50
01 Jul 23:50

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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