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We expect PA to trend upwards with a 83.33% chance.

Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in Australia, we expect PA to trend upwards. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect PA to trend upwards for 12 hours because the released value is < 0.2%. A price movement of 1,814 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Jun 01:30
07 Mar 00:30
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02 Nov 00:30
03 Sep 01:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards right now.

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