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We expect NQ to trend downwards with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Japan, we expect NQ to trend downwards. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect NQ to trend downwards for 48 hours because the released value is < ¥529.8B. A price movement of 33,687 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Oct 23:50
20 May 23:50
19 Apr 23:50
22 Jan 23:50

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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