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We expect NG to trend upwards today.

Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United States, we expect NG to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect NG to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 15 Jun 12:30 if the released value is < -0.8%. A price movement of 10 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Mar 12:30
15 Jan 13:30
16 Dec 13:30
17 Nov 13:30
14 Aug 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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