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We expect LE to trend downwards today with a 80% chance.

We expect LE to trend downwards later today. Based on these past United States Continuing Jobless Claims news events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 3655K. A price movement of 682 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

06 May 12:30
22 Apr 12:30
15 Apr 12:30
08 Apr 12:30
01 Apr 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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