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We expect LB to trend upwards today.

Based on the last 12 Consumer Confidence Flash events in Euro Area, we expect LB to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 85.71% chance of this. We expect LB to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 23 Mar 15:00 if the released value is < -14.2. A price movement of 3,005 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

23 Jan 15:00
20 Dec 15:00
23 Oct 14:00
22 Aug 14:00
20 Jun 14:00
23 Apr 14:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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