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We expect HG to trend downwards today with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 NAB Business Confidence events in Australia, we expect HG to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect HG to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 05 Oct 00:30 if the released value is < -10. A price movement of 1 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Mar 01:00
28 Jan 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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