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We expect GF to trend upwards today with a 75% chance.

Based on the last 12 ECB Interest Rate Decision events in Euro Area, we expect GF to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is = 0%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

22 Jul 11:45
10 Jun 11:45
11 Mar 12:45
21 Jan 12:45
10 Dec 12:45
29 Oct 12:45
10 Sep 11:45
16 Jul 11:45
30 Apr 11:45

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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