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We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards right now.

Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United States, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards for the next 12 hours because the released value is > 0.3%. A price movement of 13 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Jul 12:30
18 Apr 12:30
15 Nov 13:30
15 Aug 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $310 movement on GBPUSD within the next 12 hours.

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