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We expect ES to trend upwards today with a 66.67% chance.

We expect ES to trend upwards later today. Based on these past United States Inflation Rate YoY news events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 4.7%. A price movement of 2,475 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

13 Apr 12:30
13 Jan 13:30
10 Dec 13:30
12 Aug 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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