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We expect ES to trend downwards with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in United Kingdom, we expect ES to trend downwards. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect ES to trend downwards for 4 hours because the released value is < 4.4%. A price movement of 2,487 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Aug 06:00
18 May 06:00
20 Apr 06:00
23 Mar 07:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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After experiencing a 0.82% bearish move in the space of 2 days, nobody knows where AUS200 is headed.

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We expect a $57,060 movement on CC within 2 hours following the event release at 16 Nov 10:00.

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