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We expect DX to trend upwards today.

Based on the last 12 Consumer Confidence events in Japan, we expect DX to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect DX to trend upwards 12 hours following the event release at 31 Aug 05:00 if the released value is < 37. A price movement of 65 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Apr 05:00
06 Jan 05:00
29 Oct 05:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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