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We expect CT to trend upwards today with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 RBA Interest Rate Decision events in Australia, we expect CT to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect CT to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 07 Sep 04:30 if the released value is = 0.1%. A price movement of 223 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Aug 04:30
01 Jun 04:30
04 May 04:30
06 Apr 04:30
02 Feb 03:30
03 Nov 03:30
06 Oct 03:30
04 Aug 04:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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