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We expect CT to trend downwards with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 BoJ Interest Rate Decision events in Japan, we expect CT to trend downwards. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect CT to trend downwards for 48 hours because the released value is = -0.1%. A price movement of 273 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Jul 03:00
27 Apr 03:00
19 Mar 03:00
21 Jan 03:00
18 Dec 03:45
29 Oct 03:00
17 Sep 03:00
15 Jul 03:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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