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We expect CL to trend upwards today with a 85.71% chance.

We expect CL to trend upwards later today. Based on these past Canada Balance of Trade news events there is a 85.71% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is < C$-0.7B. A price movement of 247 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Nov 13:30
04 Sep 12:30
09 May 12:30
27 Mar 12:30
08 Jan 13:30
06 Dec 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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