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We expect CL to trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Germany, we expect a $379 movement on CL within 48 hours following the event release at 2023-02-02 07:00. We expect CL to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 2023-02-02 07:00 if the released value is > €5.1B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Jan 07:00
02 Nov 07:00
04 May 06:00
04 Apr 06:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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