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We expect C to trend downwards today.

Based on the last 12 Consumer Confidence events in Switzerland, we expect C to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect C to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 01 Feb 08:00 if the released value is < 4.5. A price movement of 500 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Nov 08:00
15 Apr 09:30
05 Feb 06:45
04 Nov 06:45
03 May 05:45

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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