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We expect C to trend downwards right now.

Based on the last 12 Westpac Consumer Confidence Index events in Australia, we expect C to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect C to trend downwards for the next 4 hours because the released value is > 102. A price movement of 350 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

14 Apr 00:30
09 Feb 23:30
13 Oct 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a 1,725 pip movement on ES within 4 hours following the event release.

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We expect a $4,700,375 movement on NIY within 2 hours following the event release at 15 Sep 06:00.

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