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We expect a 1,725 pip movement on ES within 4 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 Westpac Consumer Confidence Index events in Australia, we expect a 1,725 pip movement on ES within 4 hours following the event release at 15 Sep 00:30 UTC. We expect ES to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 15 Sep 00:30 UTC if the released value is > 102

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

14 Apr 00:30
09 Feb 23:30
09 Dec 01:30
13 Oct 23:30
09 Sep 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect C to trend downwards right now.

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