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We expect BP to trend upwards with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Japan, we expect BP to trend upwards. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect BP to trend upwards for 12 hours because the released value is < ¥989.8B. A price movement of 1 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 Jul 23:50
20 Oct 23:50

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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