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We expect BP to trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United Kingdom, we expect BP to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < £-1.0B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

11 Sep 06:00
09 Apr 06:00
10 Dec 09:30
11 Nov 09:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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