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We expect BP to trend upwards today with a 75% chance.

We expect BP to trend upwards later today. Based on these past Euro Area ECB Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 0%. A price movement of 0 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Sep 11:45
22 Jul 11:45
10 Jun 11:45
11 Mar 12:45
21 Jan 12:45
10 Dec 12:45
16 Jul 11:45
04 Jun 11:45
30 Apr 11:45

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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