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We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards today with a 80% chance.

We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past Germany Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash news events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 45.1. A price movement of 23 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Apr 07:30
22 Mar 08:30
21 Feb 08:30
24 Jan 08:30
23 Nov 08:30
24 Oct 07:30
21 Sep 07:30
23 Aug 07:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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