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We expect a 8 pip movement on USDCHF within 2 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 Business Confidence events in Euro Area, we expect a 8 pip movement on USDCHF within 2 hours following the event release at 30 Jul 09:00 UTC. We expect USDCHF to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 30 Jul 09:00 UTC if the released value is > 0.08

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Nov 10:00
27 Sep 09:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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