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We expect a 4 pip movement on NG within 4 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 Industrial Production YoY events in Euro Area, we expect a 4 pip movement on NG within 4 hours following the event release at 13 Oct 09:00 UTC. We expect NG to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 13 Oct 09:00 UTC if the released value is > 4.7%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Sep 09:00
14 Jun 09:00
12 Mar 10:00
13 Jan 10:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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