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We expect a 30 pip movement on USDCAD within 4 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Germany, we expect a 30 pip movement on USDCAD within 4 hours following the event release at 01 Mar 13:00 UTC. We expect USDCAD to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 01 Mar 13:00 UTC if the released value is = 5.1%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Jun 12:00
30 Mar 12:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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