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We expect a $133 movement on CL within 4 hours following the event release at 2023-09-14 12:30.

Based on past United States Retail Sales MoM news events there is a 80% chance of CL trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 0.2%. A price movement of 167 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Aug 12:30
15 Feb 13:30
16 Nov 13:30
15 Sep 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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D’après les 12 derniers événements de Ventes Au Détail (Mensuelles) en États-Unis, nous attendons un mouvement de $230 sur NZDUSD dans les 4 heures suivant la publication de l’événement à 2023-09-14 12:30.

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