Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United States, we expect a 0 pip movement on 6A within 4 hours following the event release at 13 Apr 12:30 UTC. We expect 6A to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 13 Apr 12:30 UTC if the released value is = 2.5%
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
10 Mar 13:30 |
14 Jul 12:30 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
