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We expect a $0 movement on BP within 2 hours following the event release at 11 Feb 07:00.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United Kingdom, we expect a $0 movement on BP within 2 hours following the event release at 11 Feb 07:00. We expect BP to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 11 Feb 07:00 if the released value is < £ -3.1B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

13 Oct 06:00
10 Sep 06:00
12 Aug 06:00
13 Apr 06:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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