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We expect a $0.055 movement on NG within 12 hours following the event release at 20 May 14:00.

Based on the last 12 Consumer Confidence Flash events in Euro Area, we expect a $0.055 movement on NG within 12 hours following the event release at 20 May 14:00. We expect NG to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 20 May 14:00 if the released value is > -24

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

23 Mar 15:00
20 Feb 15:00
20 Sep 14:00
23 Jul 14:00
21 May 14:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $23.558 movement on DC within 48 hours following the event release at 20 May 12:30.

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We expect LB to trend downwards with a 66.67% chance.

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