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We expect 6C to trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Germany, we expect 6C to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > €21.5B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Mar 07:00
09 Nov 07:00
08 May 06:00
09 Apr 06:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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