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We could see a 3,212 pip movement on ES within 48 hours following this event release.

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in France, we may see a 3,212 pip movement on ES within 48 hours following the event release at 17 May 05:30 UTC. ES may trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 17 May 05:30 UTC if the released value is > 7.4%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

13 Aug 05:30
10 Nov 06:30
14 Nov 06:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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