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There is a 80% chance of RU trending downwards

Based on past Germany Balance of Trade news events there is a 80% chance of RU trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > € 14B. A price movement of 0 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Dec 07:00
08 Nov 07:00
10 Oct 06:00
07 Jun 06:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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