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There is a 75% chance of RTY trending downwards

Based on past Japan GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel news events there is a 75% chance of RTY trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 4.4%. A price movement of 1,525 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 Aug 23:50
19 May 23:50
09 Aug 23:50

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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