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There is a 75% chance of LE trending downwards

Based on past United States Durable Goods Orders MoM news events there is a 75% chance of LE trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 10.9%. A price movement of 188 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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