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There is a 75% chance of HG trending upwards

Based on past United States Durable Goods Orders MoM news events there is a 75% chance of HG trending upwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 0.5%. A price movement of 5 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

26 Aug 12:30
27 Jul 12:30
25 Jun 12:30
28 May 12:30
25 Mar 12:30
27 Feb 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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