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There is a 75% chance of GBPUSD trending upwards

Based on past Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 75% chance of GBPUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = -0.1%. A price movement of 283 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

20 Jun 03:00
25 Apr 03:00
15 Mar 03:00
23 Jan 03:00
20 Dec 03:00
31 Oct 03:00
19 Sep 03:00
15 Jun 03:00
09 Mar 03:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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