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There is a 71.43% chance of NIY trending upwards

We expect NIY to trend upwards later today. Based on these past Japan Consumer Confidence news events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 32. A price movement of 27250 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 Oct 05:00
30 Sep 05:00
29 Jul 05:00
29 Jun 05:00
08 Apr 05:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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