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There is a 66.67% chance of USDJPY trending downwards

Based on past Australia Balance of Trade news events there is a 66.67% chance of USDJPY trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < A$7.4B. A price movement of 8 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

06 Jun 01:30
06 Dec 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect 6M to trend downwards today with a 66.67% chance.

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FRA40 is approaching a support line of a Rising Wedge. It has touched this line numerous times in the last 8 days.

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