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There is a 66.67% chance of USDCAD trending downwards

Based on past Canada Balance of Trade news events there is a 66.67% chance of USDCAD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < C$-0.3B. A price movement of 62 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 May 12:30
08 Jan 13:30
06 Dec 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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Resistance line breached by SPX500. This price has been tested at least twice before.

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