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There is a 66.67% chance of KC trending upwards

Based on past Euro Area ECB Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 66.67% chance of KC trending upwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is = 0%. A price movement of 350 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Dec 12:45
29 Oct 12:45
10 Sep 11:45
16 Jul 11:45
04 Jun 11:45
30 Apr 11:45
12 Dec 12:45
12 Sep 11:45

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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