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What to trade around the US Retail Sales MoM news event

What to trade around the US Retail Sales MoM news event

Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in US, we expect USDJPY to trend down right now. Based on these past events there is a 75.0% of this.
We expect USDJPY to trend down for the next 4 hours because the released value is < 0.6%. A price movement of 24 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

14 Mar 12:30
 
14 Feb 13:30
 
13 Oct 12:30
 

* All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”)

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