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We expect ZN to trend downwards today.

Based on the last 12 BoE Interest Rate Decision events in United Kingdom, we expect ZN to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect ZN to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-06-19 11:00 if the released value is = 4.25%. A price movement of 90 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 May 11:02
20 Mar 12:00
06 Feb 12:00
19 Dec 12:00
19 Sep 11:00
20 Jun 11:00
21 Mar 12:00
01 Feb 12:00
14 Dec 12:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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