Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect YM to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect YM to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 2022-11-03 12:30 if the released value is > 1450K. A price movement of 125200 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
27 Oct 12:30 |
20 Oct 12:30 |
13 Oct 12:30 |
08 Sep 12:30 |
11 Aug 12:30 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).