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We expect YM to trend downwards today with a 85.71% chance.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Germany, we expect YM to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 85.71% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > €15B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Aug 06:00
05 Jun 06:00
04 May 06:00
02 Feb 07:00
05 Jan 07:00
02 Nov 07:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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Nous attendons un mouvement de $133 pour USDCAD dans les 4 prochaines heures.

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