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We expect YM to trend downwards for the next 4 hours.

Based on the last 12 BoC Interest Rate Decision events in Canada, we expect YM to trend downwards for the next 4 hours. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. This will happen because the released value is = 1.75%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Jul 14:00
29 May 14:00
24 Apr 14:00
06 Mar 15:00
09 Jan 15:00
24 Oct 14:00
11 Jul 14:00
18 Apr 14:00
07 Mar 15:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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